近有国内家人朋友听说日本又地震了，问我们有没有受影响。网上搜查了一下，地震是9月17日晚间发生在鹿儿岛，1.5小时内连续发生12起地震，最大震级4.7级，由于地源浅，多地出现强烈震感。日本是地震最频繁的岛国，鹿儿岛应该是这个岛国地震最频繁的区域。自2025年6月21日起，日本鹿儿岛吐噶喇群岛27天内发生2173次地震，54名居民被迫撤离。这几千次地震都不是什么大震，震级1-5级。日本气象厅「南海海槽地震评价检讨会」认为此次群震与南海海槽特大地震无关，科学家发现，鹿儿岛所处海底板块的边界‘流体’异常，可能是诱因。

Recently, some family and friends in China heard about another earthquake in Japan and asked if we were affected. I searched online and found that the earthquake occurred on the evening of September 17th in Kagoshima. Within 1.5 hours, there were 12 consecutive earthquakes with a maximum magnitude of 4.7. Due to shallow ground sources, strong tremors were felt in many areas. Japan is the island country with the most frequent earthquakes, and Kagoshima should be the area with the most frequent earthquakes in this island country. Starting from June 21, 2025, there have been 2173 earthquakes in the Tokara Islands of Kagoshima, Japan within 27 days, forcing 54 residents to evacuate. These thousands of earthquakes are not major earthquakes, with magnitudes ranging from 1 to 5. The Japan Meteorological Agency's "South China Sea Trough Earthquake Evaluation Review Committee" believes that this group of earthquakes is not related to the South China Sea Trough earthquake. Scientists have found that the abnormal "fluid" boundary of the underwater plate where Kagoshima is located may be the cause.

鹿儿岛位于日本本土南部，离东京有1,400多公里。距离上海更近些，有900多公里。由于震级不大，离得又比较远，我们没有感觉到，也没有受到影响。

Kagoshima is located in the southern part of mainland Japan, over 1400 kilometers away from Tokyo. It is closer to Shanghai, over 900 kilometers away. Due to the small magnitude and relatively far distance, we did not feel it and were not affected.

这次询问，也让我想起了今年上半年，家人和朋友询问日本地震的频率明显高于往常。主要有两个原因。2025年年初，日本政府地震调查小组发布最新评估报告，将未来30年内南海海槽发生“特大地震”（震级8级及以上）的概率提升至80%。

This inquiry also reminds me of the first half of this year, when family and friends inquired about earthquakes in Japan with a significantly higher frequency than usual. There are two main reasons. At the beginning of 2025, the Japanese government's earthquake investigation team released its latest assessment report, increasing the probability of a "major earthquake" (magnitude 8 or above) occurring in the Nanka trough within the next 30 years to 80%.

上图中，黄色小长条，为日本所处各大板块之间的位置；红色小方块，为南海海槽区域。

In the above picture, the yellow small bar represents the position of Japan among the major tectonic plates; The red small square represents the Nankai Trough area.

另一个更应时的原因是，日本女漫画家龙树谅在2021年出版的漫画《我所看见的未来完全版》中预言，2025年7月5日会有大灾害发生。日期越近，预言网络传播越盛，甚至导致赴日旅游的外国游客数量大幅下降（报道说主要是来自中国香港和台湾的游客锐减）。Another more timely reason is that Japanese manga artist Ryo Ryushu predicted in her 2021 manga "The Complete Version of the Future I See" that a major disaster would occur on July 5, 2025. The closer the date is, the more popular the prophecy spreads on the internet, and even leads to a significant decrease in the number of foreign tourists traveling to Japan (mainly from Hong Kong and Taiwan, according to reports).

关于龙树谅，我在网上问询了AI。她此前因1999年出版的漫画书《我所看到的未来》而被大众知晓。这本书封面上“2011 年 3 月发生大灾害” 的内容，与日本 311 大地震时间契合，从而使她声名鹊起。然而，后续她与出版社合作出版的《我所看见的未来完全版》却让错误资讯广泛流传，这也促使她于 2025 年 6 月 15 日自费出版新漫画书《天使的遗言》。一方面为了辟谣，另一方面她也希望传达自己的真实想法，希望大家为大地震的到来做好准备。

Regarding Ryushu Ryo, I inquired AI about her online. She was previously known to the public for her comic book "The Future I See" published in 1999. The content on the cover of this book, which reads' A major disaster occurred in March 2011 ', coincides with the timing of the 311 earthquake in Japan, thus making her famous. However, her subsequent collaboration with the publishing house to publish the complete version of 'The Future I See' led to widespread misinformation, which prompted her to self publish a new comic book called 'Angel's Last Words' on June 15, 2025. On the one hand, to refute rumors, and on the other hand, she also hopes to convey her true thoughts, hoping that everyone will be prepared for the arrival of the major earthquake.

网络流传也是把双刃剑，龙奶奶的纠正使得很多敏感的人，将注意力放在了大灾害会发生在7 月 5 日凌晨 4:18或发生在7月份。我自己虽然到不了半信半疑的级别，但对地震特别是说要发生在日本的大地震，采取宁信其有的策略。买买买，上网查询防震相关产品。其实，在来日本前，就听说日本是地震多发国家。来日本前在国内就买了急救包和太阳能充电池等东西。这次网上购物，我又发现一些日本专业防灾救急用具。

The online spread is also a double-edged sword. Grandma Long's correction has caused many sensitive people to focus their attention on whether the major disaster will occur at 4:18 am on July 5th or in July. Although I have doubts about the prophecy, I choose to be prepared for the major disaster. Buy buy buy, search online for earthquake resistant products. Actually, before coming to Japan, I heard that Japan is a country prone to earthquakes. Before coming to here, I bought first aid kits and solar rechargeable batteries in China. Through the online shopping in Japan, I found more professional disaster prevention and emergency equipment.

地震对策 30件 避难套装  30 pieces of earthquake countermeasures shelter kit

多功能弹出式帐篷 - 便捷更衣室 Multi functional pop-up tent - for changing clothes

可折叠纸质，最大负荷180公斤马桶 Foldable paper made maximum load 180kg toilet

电视及家具固定绳索 TV & furniture fixing rope

太阳能移动电源 Solar-Powered Portable Battery

到了日本后，建军公司当地的协调员告诉我们，第一件事就是家人之间先商量好，如果大地震发生没有网络后，家人们在哪里见面。筑波市市政管理局也都发给我们，地震发生时的策略和应急中心示意图。接着老天又来了几个下马威，连着好几次不大不小的地震。一晃三年多过去了，之间发生过一些地震，甚至有时候想，怎么最近没地震，转天老天就给来一个。既然大灾难可能要来，能做什么准备就做什么吧。这也算对得起龙奶奶写书作画的一片苦心- 呼吁大家在面对未知时保持冷静，强调拥有足够防灾意识的重要性。

After arriving in Japan, the local coordinator of Jianjun Company told us that the first thing to do is to discuss among family members where to meet if there is no internet after a major earthquake. The Municipal Administration Bureau of Tsukuba City has also sent us the strategy and emergency center diagram for earthquakes. Subsequently, several moderate earthquakes accompanied. Time flying three years past, and there have been some earthquakes in between. Sometimes I even wonder why there haven't been any earthquakes recently, and the next day, it happens. Since a major disaster may come, do whatever preparations you can. This is also worthy of Grandma Long's painstaking efforts in writing and painting books.

-Call on everyone to remain calm when facing the unknown disaster, emphasizing the importance of having sufficient disaster prevention awareness.

我们所住的社区，6月中的时候，社区自治会发通知到各家，让详细填写联系方式。非常感激的是，还专门发给了我们英文联系表。我也问过几个球友（岁数40-70岁之间），她们的反应是谁是“龙树谅”，没听说过这本书。她们从小就生活在这种环境中，习惯地震了。建军的日本同事倒是有知道这个预言的，还说得很玄乎。他们相信大地震会发生在7月5日早上4:18，并且说已经有人请了高僧祈求渡劫。如果大灾害没发生，说明高僧有两笔刷子；如果发生了，说明预言是对的。反正7月5日是周六，他们会带家人住山上的帐篷里。就这样，7月5日凌晨和一整天，在平静中度过了。那个高僧算是赚到荣誉了，大家悬着的一颗心也平复了些。

In mid June, our community council sent a notice to each household asking them to provide detailed contact information. They offered us English contact form. I have also asked a few tennis friends (aged between 40-70), and their reaction is who is "Ryo Ryuki" and they have not heard of this book. They have been living in this environment since childhood and are used to earthquakes. Some of Frank's Japaness colleagues did know about this prophecy and believe that a major earthquake will occur at 4:18 am on July 5th. And they say that someone has already invited eminent monks to pray for transcendence. If no major disaster occurs, it means that the monks are awsome; If it happens, it means the prophecy is correct. Anyway, July 5th is a Saturday, and they will bring their family to stay in a tent on the mountain. And, on the early morning of July 5th and throughout the day, nothing happend. That eminent monks have earned honor, and everyone's anxious hearts have also calmed down a bit.

但是随着2025年6月21日至7月15日，日本鹿儿岛县吐噶喇列岛近20余天发生超2000次地震，日本气象厅预警强震持续, 需长期防备。网上又开始传播7月必有大地震的预言。接下来十几天，天天高温预警大太阳，没有什么大动静，当人们感觉7月即将这样过去时，7月30日早上8:37分，大家手机都突然收到气象厅“紧急警报”通知，主要是说第一波海啸将在11点到达，预计高度1米。9:42又收到第二个通知，说是10:30左右到达，3米高。后来了解到，30日清晨，俄罗斯远东堪察加半岛东南海域突然爆发里氏8.7级强震，这是自1952年以来该地区最强烈的地质活动。 这场地震的能量相当于同时引爆2000颗广岛原子弹，瞬间将海底地层撕裂出长达百公里的裂缝。 震源深度仅20公里，使得地表震动烈度达到罕见的9度。海啸警报拉响，日本、夏威夷等地紧急疏散，多地发布预警。建军同事的夫人，本来在那天上午打算带孩子们去海边公园玩儿的，收到短信后，取消了行程。

However, with over 2000 earthquakes occurring on the island of T ō kaku in Kagoshima Prefecture, Japan during the 20 days from June 21 to July 15, 2025, the Japan Meteorological Department has issued a warning that strong earthquakes will continue to require long-term preparartion.

The prediction of a major earthquake in July has started to spread online again. For the next ten days, everyday was with high temparatures. When people feel that July is about to pass like this, at 8:37 am on July 30th, everyone's mobile phones suddenly received an "emergency warning" notification from the meteorological department, mainly saying that the first wave of tsunami will arrive at 11 o'clock, with an estimated height of 1 meter. 9: 42 we received a second notification stating that it will arrive around 10:30 and be 3 meters high. Later, it was learned that on the morning of the 30th, a strong earthquake measuring 8.7 on the Richter scale suddenly erupted in the southeastern waters of the Kamchatka Peninsula in the Russian Far East. This is the strongest geological activity in the region since 1952. The energy of this earthquake is equivalent to detonating 2000 Hiroshima atomic bombs at the same time, instantly tearing apart hundreds of kilometers of cracks in the underwater strata. The depth of the earthquake source is only 20 kilometers, resulting in a rare surface seismic intensity of 9 degrees. The tsunami warning sounded, and emergency evacuations were carried out in Japan, Hawaii, and other places, with many issuing warnings. The wife of one of Frank's colleagues had planned to take her children to the seaside park to play that morning, after receiving a text message, she cancelled the trip.

在日本，可能就是这样，冷不丁的就来一个地震。没有地震，还能来海啸。但是在日本生活久些，看到的是虽然其地理位置坐落在地震带上，但是自然资源丰富，生态环境也不错。回到龙奶奶的大灾害预言，7月已经过去，是否预示着预言失败呢。首先，她梦中的大灾害有可能漂移到了俄罗斯的远东，地震够大，但是减少了人员经济损失。她多次表示，预言重在提醒大家重视大灾害可能发生，督促大家做好准备。 再有，龙树谅在漫画末页写道：“若2025年7月无事发生，请再等五年、十年……”也就是说在2030年和2035年，日本岛屿依旧有概率发生太平洋地震海啸引起的国土沉没灾难；不仅日本，整个东南亚，甚至全球都可能发生大灾害。所以，我们能做到的应该就是有所准备，每天善待自己和家人。

In Japan, it may be like this, where an earthquake occurs anytime. Without earthquakes, there can still be tsunamis. But after living in Japan for a longer time, what I see is that although it is located in an earthquake zone, it is rich in natural resources and has a good ecological environment. Returning to Grandma Long's prophecy of a major disaster, July has already passed. Does it indicate the failure of the prophecy. Firstly, the major disaster in her dream may have drifted to the Far East of Russia. The earthquake was large enough, but the losses of personnel and economy was limited. She has repeatedly stated that prophecy emphasizes reminding everyone to pay attention to the possibility of major disasters and urging everyone to be prepared. Furthermore, Ryo Ryuki wrote on the last page of the manga: "If nothing happens in July 2025, please wait another five or ten years..." This means that there is still a probability of Japan's islands sinking due to Pacific earthquakes and tsunamis in 2030 and 2035; Not only Japan, but also Southeast Asia and even the whole world may experience major disasters. So, what we can do is to be prepared and treat ourselves and our families well every day